Sunday, April 20, 2014

Companies Are Failing to Detect Financial Fraud in Supply Chains: Deloitte

A surprising number of business executives are leaving their supply chains vulnerable to financial fraud, according to a new study by Deloitte Financial Advisory Services.
Polling more than 2,600 executives, the study found that fewer than a third of respondents were deploying the kind of data-analytics tools that can detect fraud or waste by vendors. Another 13% had the necessary tools but were still learning to use them, while 22% had no data analytics of any kind.
Many managers, lacking sufficient knowledge of information technology, do not understand “the power of analytics,” said Deloitte principal Mark Pearson. As a result, they are failing to submit their invoices and contracts to the necessary level of scrutiny.
In addition, Pearson said, many companies harbor an attitude of “it can’t happen here.” Yet “folks who do fraud investigations every day recognize that it exists in most organizations.”
Part of the problem lies with the nature of “big data” — the existence of so many inputs that companies are having a tough time sorting through the noise and deriving information of value. Pearson said companies are doing a better job of identifying high-level trends in invoice characteristics than they are scrutinizing individual line items. But the latter is where most of the fraud resides.
Financial fraud among vendors and their subcontractors can take many forms. The worst, in terms of potential dollar impact, involves collusion between a company employee, usually in a procurement role, and an outside party. The buyer might be getting kickbacks or other financial incentives in exchange for using the vendor’s services. Another possibility is an employee creating a false vendor and submitting invoices on its behalf.
Perhaps most difficult to detect is misconduct by the vendor, often in the form of falsified labor and inflated bills. Then there’s the familiar pumping up of expense accounts and other kinds of allocated charges.
At the very least, one might assume that companies are carefully monitoring the expenses of their own employees. Often that isn’t even the case, said Deloitte partner Larry Kivett. “In our experience, labor-related charges, per diems and hotel, travel and expense charges tend to be pretty problematic.”
The typical invoice can be opaque, boiling down all labor costs into a single number. “It doesn’t contain the information a forensic accountant would want to see,” said Pearson. “Cost-plus” contracts are especially vulnerable to the imposition of illegitimate charges.
Fraud becomes even more of a possibility where multiple tiers of suppliers are involved. “Everybody knows who they contract directly with,” said Pearson. “But is that tier-one vendor actually creating the process itself? Or is it leveraging a supply chain that might contain entities that don’t have the client’s interest at heart?”
Kivett said there’s frequently a disconnect between the care that a company takes in sorting through bids and contracting with the chosen vendor, and the negligence it shows in following up to make sure that the contract terms are being met.
“On the back end, when you get to billing, you could have very summarized data that’s difficult to tie back to a contract,” he said. Unfortunately, those two tasks are often performed by different departments in “siloed” organizations.
Even up front, companies could be doing a better job of policing their supply-chain vendors. Kivett recommended more intensive background checks than most managers are currently conducting. “The best way to prevent fraud,” he said, “is to eliminate your bad apples before they’ve had access to your organization.”
It’s a piece of advice that many companies are failing to take. In the Deloitte survey, 12%of respondents said they monitor third parties for fraud, waste and abuse on a quarterly basis, while 13% said they do it annually.
Pearson said procurement managers need to exercise their right to audit vendors’ bills and activities. At the very least, companies need to have internal auditors in place, “to help them get smart about what it is they’re spending money on.”
As for the vendor, it’s less likely to engage in financial misconduct with a buyer that demonstrates diligence on a constant basis, Pearson said.

Analytics can go a long way toward smoking out the miscreants. Kivett says available tools for parsing the numbers are more sophisticated than ever. “There’s a proliferation of data that didn’t exist five to 10 years ago.” What’s more, “as fraud investigators, we’ve gotten smarter about fraud schemes.”
That assumes, of course, that companies are willing to make use of the available tools and expertise that can help to wipe out fraud in supply-chain relationships. But there’s some evidence that they’re waking up.
Deloitte sees financial fraud as a “hot area,” Pearson said. ”It’s a regular topic of conversation that we’re having now with clients. There’s reason for optimism — a heightened awareness.”
Robert Bowman Contributor on forbes
http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertbowman/2014/04/16/companies-are-failing-to-detect-financial-fraud-in-supply-chains-deloitte/

Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Resource Revolution: What Every Supply Chain Manager Needs to Know

Are You Ready?

Meeting global resource demand means dramatically enhancing resource productivity however new technology gives companies an exceptional opportunity to meet that challenge with the next industrial revolution.
What Productivity Improvements are needed to meet global demand
Materials 1.3%              Food 1.5%
Energy 3.2%                  Water 3.7%

Inefficient use of Resources: Automobile Example

Most automobiles spend over 95 percent of their life sitting idle. Even when used, the average occupancy per vehicle is far less than two and much below the standard capacity of five. Roads are also notoriously inefficient. Freeways rarely operate at optimal throughput (around 2,000 cars a lane per hour). Furthermore, congestion reduces throughput.
What does this all add up to?  Major Costs for governments, individuals and businesses.  Governments need to develop and maintain infrastructures.  Individuals pay billions for gas at the pump and businesses endure transportation and logistical costs to move their products from one place to the other.
Underutilization is a difficult problem to solve and cannot be helped by outsourcing or engineering.  This problem is an amazing opportunity to create value for governments businesses, and individuals.  With innovation to use resources far more imaginatively and efficiently and push for change, business will be revolutionized.

Checklist for Resource Innovation

  • Combine information technology, nanoscale-materials science, and biology with industrial technology  to yield substantial productivity increases.
  • Achieve high-productivity and economic growth though the middle class, the best opportunity for wealth-creation.
  • Capturing these opportunities will require management approaches to change.

Productivity Improvements by 50% or More

Historic resource-productivity improvement rates of one to two percentage points a year are over. Operation leaders must deliver productivity gains of 50 percent or more every few years.

Transportation Revolution

Imaging never having to drive your children to school in the morning. Imaging never having to look for parking.  Imaging not having to ever go to the gas station. Imagine reading a book or working on your computer while on a lengthy trip, by yourself.  Once this was just a vision stemming from science fiction, can now be a reality.  The individual benefits of self driving cars are evident but what about how this would effect our transportation ecosystem.  How can such a technology improve the productivity of our society?  What will our world look like?
Currently the extremely low utilization of our transportation system is a metric worth exploring. Trillions of dollars can be saved by improving this metric but how is this really going to be accomplished.  Technology is answer, but also we must take concepts from supply chain management and queuing theory to effect the greater whole.
First, The technology needed to accomplish a transportation revolution already exists. Nissan, Mercedes-Benz and Renault all have announced plans to sell cars by 2020 that can drive themselves at least part of the time.  In an announcement at the Frankfurt Auto show in September of 2013. Nissan mentioned the timetable on self-driving cars will be a release date in 2020. Nissan’s chairman Carlos Ghosn commented on self driving automobiles.
“We’re going to get there even sooner than we think,” Ghosn said. “What’s going to be left is the reliability of the system… 2020 is going to be the latest because we’re going to be under pressure from a lot of competition. The pressure is now on us to be sure we are bringing the first cars on the market.”
Video

Orginal Article and videos at Supply Chain Consultants

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Demand Variability

Why Analyze Variability?

Logistics Consulting ServicesThe impact of demand variability has large implications on how to properly manage operations.  Significant profit increases can be achieved by preparing for variability.  Supply chain managers have listed demand variability as the top challenge to efficiently and effectively managing supply chains and there are mathematical ways to create the most value.
Variability can determine influence supply chain strategy, production schedules, and inventory requirements, capacity requirements, and various other aspects of your supply chain.

What is demand variability?

Demand variability is the changes in demand from period to period. Each period can be defined by its appropriateness. Demand variability is also the result of trend, seasonality, events, and noise.

How do you compensate for variability?

  • Drive the supply chain from real demand
  • Consider different demand outcomes using probability and scenario analyses as part of planning processes, starting with the S&OP process.
  • Incorporate automated segmentation and classification capabilities along with dynamic demand response capabilities into the forecasting process.
  • Continuously evaluate response buffer strategies to ensure they are aligned with customer segmentation and associated demand variability.
  • Provide end-to-end and linked demand-supply visibility to deal with demand volatility as plans are executed.
  • Synchronize demand management processes with supply management processes.
  • Use the synchronization described above to employ demand shaping strategies.
  • Incorporate a learning framework to gain insights into variability and volatility.
  • Close the loop between variability management and volatility management.
  • Continuously improve processes to reduce lead times and process variability.

Factors that Effect Demand Variability

  • New Product Launch
  • Product Proliferation
  • increase in specialize retail programs
  • increased competition
  • Rapidly changing customer preferences
  • Promotions

Thursday, March 6, 2014

Green Operations

Focusing on the cost of energy and materials , the role of sustainable suppliers, and the integration into production processes, is often overlooked by companies.  Green operations can help build a sustainable future while improving a company’s brand image. We help clients grow revenue and reduce costs while meeting the challenges of today’s global economy.  We can redesign operations from end to end in a value chain while improving profitability.  Often, positive outcomes can be achieved by collecting, repurposing, and reusing discarded products and materials.

Corporate social responsibility

Corporate social responsibility is mainly self-regulated.  It’s up to each business to define their own corporate social responsibility (CSR).  CSR is also known as corporate responsibility, corporate citizenship and corporate social performance.   Businesses who create their own CSR measure their impact to the natural environment and social environment.  Companies who participate in CSR programs often earn creditability and brand awareness.  This can lead to increases in revenue and improvements in other financial metrics.

Thursday, February 13, 2014

3-D Printing, Conventional Manufacturing at Risk

3dprinterpartsThe capabilities of 3-D printing hardware are evolving rapidly. These machines the begin by printing simple plastic items can now handle a range of materials from titanium to organic materials like human cartilage. Not only does this technology allow for a spectrum of materials but allow  for production of fully functional components including LED’s and other electronics.  The ability to create complex items with mechanical and electronic components will make 3-D printers a viable alternative to standard manufacturing.
The technology is rapidly improving and costs are decreasing. Larger and more complex components, increased precision , and higher speeds is just the tip of this iceberg ready to sink the manufacturing economy. In my opinion it is not a matter of if 3-D printers will become a staple in every house but when. Just like how the personal computer invaded in the 1990’s, 3-D printers will rock the foundation of business.

Expect 3-D printing to:

  1. Change the design, production and logistics of products
  2. Influence manufacturing strategies
  3. Become highly profitable
  4. Change business models to maximize product design revenue
  5. Quickly and continuously improve capabilities
  6. Make many manufacturing facilities obsolete
3-D printers still have many markets to profit from before entering our homes. From a historical perspective, 3-D printing has a clear path through corporate America.  Just as computers made their way from research to business, 3-D printing will replace many conventional manufacturing processes.  They will eliminate the need for specialized machinery, they will reduce development time, and reduce the waste of raw materials.  Research suggests that 3-D printing, also known as additive manufacturing could reach $1/2 Trillion by 2025.
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Monday, February 10, 2014

Critical Supply Chain Data- What Data Should a Company Collect

A major piece of supply chain management is the collection of sales data.  Sales data is extremely important to supply chain analytics and without linking this data to supply chain analytics a management team is missing out on significant insights
The collection of sales data should include as much useful information as possible.  I use the term “useful information” because some information might never be used.  Below an explanation of sales data points needed in supply chain analytics, the end goal being the creation of demand forecasting models. Collect total sales for each product or service and in a time series. (for supply chain purposes you don’t need much customer information but the location of each sale should be recorded for more advanced supply chain networks)
Information to Record
  • Average Demand
  • Demand Standard Deviation
  • Cost of over producing
  • Cost of under producing
A demand forecasting model will help management decide when to produce and how much to produce for tangible goods. For intangible goods forecasting models will help decide how much capacity is needed and when it is need to maintain an optimized service level
To Establish appropriate models a company should record also these operating metrics
  • Record and measure the average lead time in a appropriate units (hours/days/years)
  • Demand rate (items per year)
  • Setup costs / ordering costs
  • # of units to purchase at a time
  • Average Inventory levels
  • Purchasing Costs
These 6 pieces of information can be used to understand your supply chain system and how to optimize your procurement activities and production activities.
Hope this information helps and if you would like to know more please contact us through our contact us page. Thank you